October 2009 Archives

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When you do decide to trade on a market, naturally you need to pick a financial instrument or perhaps a commodity to trade and this is where you need to exclusively look at the nature of the commodity and the current economic situation, plus how it applies to the commodity or the financial company attached to it. After which, you are to educate yourself on the dynamics of the commodity.

You need to do some research, because for one, would you invest in the oil market right now? Look at the current economic crisis. Look at how the oil prices inflated to almost unbelievable levels last year during the latter half of 2008. Look at how the US dollar has strengthened over the past few weeks, and this has affected how oil has been traded. All of this has led to the fall of oil prices and it seems that they still might be plunging. The current economic outlook looks at lower spending while car purchases, considered a luxury, has been dropping.

This is why companies like General Motors and Chrysler has felt the burn and are depending on government bailouts. Companies are restructuring, which means less people will be out of work, more of them will sell their cars.

Public transport will be the mainstay – and all this leads to the reduction of oil demand all over the world. You see how one commodity is connected to a whole host of situations and elements that determine how well or unwell that they will be performing this year. You should not only look at the performance of a commodity as it does not give a very good basis for comparison with other commodities.You will definitely need to ask yourself what are the commodities that you are dealing with.

It is a basic necessity? Or is it a consumer level luxury? Is it raw material or finished goods? Now, commodities like agriculture are performing really well because of lower level spending habits dominating the bulk of the consumer world. It is a good idea to put money in agriculture and perhaps even cheap pharmaceuticals. So when you do choose a commodity to trade in, understand that you need to take a holistic perspective on everything. Commodities are entities that survive and live in an economic eco system, and with this you will be able to identify and forecast the market.

Trading is something that is that comes as a sort of nature to people with an enterprising nature with them. But of course, there are plenty of considerations to take into account when trading. Not only do you have to look at the commodity you trading in, the market psychology, the economics and politics behind the market and what kind of platform you will be leveraging on. With these in mind, you will then be able to take control of the dynamic elements of trading and make a tidy fortune for yourself.

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Trading in the FX market can be daunting experience and for sure, this is due to the massive size of the market. The daily turnover for the current Forex market is somewhere in the region of a few trillion dollars, and estimates from various financial powerhouses stated that this number is set to grow. The market is so massive that you might even not spot the market movements just in time in order to make timely decisions. It is like putting the Hubble telescope in space.

No matter how advanced the technology or the strategy, you will be only to get a good look of about 11% or so of the total space. Because of the price changes and such, you will need to have a particular sort of market knowledge to that you know how to navigate through the market should you get stuck.Due to global sensitivities, prices fluctuates at great extends, making it even harder to spot the smallest trend changes.

The other thing about FX trading is that there is no physical trading floor where you can focus and concentrate on the investment activities all over the world.The Forex market is so fluid 24/7 and it has many headquarters where major trading takes place. This 24-hour marker moves from region to region, so all the investing is done through centres or through the internet. The number of online retail, both serious and casual, investors number in the hundreds of thousands.

With this, you can trade from any location in the world, and all you need to have an internet connection and the appropriate software to help you interface with the live market. Investing in the Forex market is also one that requires you to pay attention on the fundamental analysis and world events such as economic and political conditions all over the world. Media monitoring is so important in Forex trading, because market psychology is one that is affected even by the potential of events happening. Sell the sizzle not the steak – is the by line of this market. So you need to be extra sensitive when looking at the market situation and how events all over the world can affect governments, currencies and market psychology.

With consumer capitalism at an all time low, you need to understand that even the smallest frequency vibrations in any economic or political sphere, will affect spending, trade and how currencies evolve over time. You need to protect yourself from inflation and the sliding of currencies in Europe, US or Asia. As you can see the character of the FX trader is one that is a jack of all trades. Once you master the different aspects of the market, you will get a better grip on the market and make much more money with the FX market.

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Technical analysis of the stock market, or any other market such as Forex, futures, is how most traders and investors make their trading decisions. This is as opposed to fundamental analysis which most people more agree is pretty much done as a way of making trading decisions, unless of course you are Warren Buffet!.

You only have to think back to recent stock market scams like Enron to know that it is almost impossible for the average, and even very sophisticated fund manager or hedge fund trader to really know what the real financial state of a company is.

Just by reading the balance sheet and other quaterly reports they release gives you a very poor insight into the real health of the company. Whereas the technical analysis charts of the company tend to give the real picture of what the market thinks of the value of the company. In the case of Enron even simple technical analysis told you to SELL when the stock was in the $80-90 range, this is why technical analysis of stocks is so popular.

So what is the secret to technical analysis?, I’m about to tell you, here are my golden rules:

* Only use 3-5 simple technical analysis indicators

* Make sure that you understand how the indicators that you have selected work, what the parameter settings are and in what market conditions they are effective

* After selecting your indicators and parameter settings don’t mess with them.

The real secret to technical analysis is to get VERY familiar with your choosen indicators, and really this can only be done by watching and studying the market, so that you get to the point that you TRUST them.

The fact is that in any market, for each bar period, there are only 5 pieces of information, the open, close, high, low and volume, yet there are now hundreds of indicators. Most of these indicators are displaying the same information and so are redundant.

For the record my set of indicators are:

* 4 Simple Moving Averages

* Bollinger Bands

* MACD

* Stochastics

But the way I use them is quite special, to learn more about how to become an expert at technical analysis visit:

Top Dog Trading Review

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